Why Stock Market Timing

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Stock market timing can reduce your risk and amplify your gains by avoiding bear market losses.

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Copyright 2006 Equitrend, Inc.

It’s important that you understand the impact that a bear market has on your capital. The give and take of your investment capital is not equal. If you placed $100 into an investment and it declined 50% to $50, what is the rate of return you would need to earn back your original investment of $100?

Once you lose money, it takes a much greater return on the funds you have left to recapture your original investment. In this case, you would need a 100% gain on the remaining $50 to recapture your original $100 investment.

Looking at historical bear markets in the United States, we can conclude that the time to recovery from a bear market can take between six months and twenty five years! Declines in portfolio value have ranged from 20% to 86.7%! Not a good scenario for buy and hold investors. This is why you would be better off financially to never lose money in any one year and to only achieve half of the market’s returns in the positive years. Let us explain how this is possible. If you never lost money in the down market years, you would only need to capture 38.33% of the gains in the positive market years to equal a buy-and-hold position in the Nasdaq 100 index. More realistically, if your losses in the down market years were half the Nasdaq’s losses, you would only need to capture 63.37% of the Nasdaq’s gains in the positive market years to equal a buy-and-hold position.

The point we are making is that you don’t need to equal or outperform the performance of the market in the positive market years if you protect your capital in the down market years. Protecting your capital in the down market years has an exponential effect on growing your capital over time.

The objective of any stock market timing strategy should be to reduce risk and maximize returns – with risk reduction being the most important factor. All other things being equal, you want to invest in the least volatile, highest reward, lowest risk strategy possible.

You may be reading this today because you are tired of giving all of your own assets, or your client’s assets, away to a bear market. You may even be in the position where your retirement has been diminished to the point of having to change your retirement plans.

Whatever the reason, there are better ways to grow and protect your assets than the buy and hold (buy and hope) myth promoted by Wall Street.

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The Interesting History Of The Stock Market

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Talking about the Stock Market we seem to mean a different dimension, not a physical location.
However, the Stock Market does have physical locations.

Wall Street, also known as the Dow, or the NYSE, is located in New York

Wall Street is the Address(or is it?)

Many people think of Wall Street and the Stock Market as one in the same, and indeed, it used to be that way.

stock market, investing, daytrading, forex

Talking about the Stock Market we seem to mean a different dimension, not a physical location.
However, the Stock Market does have physical locations.

Wall Street, also known as the Dow, or the NYSE, is located in New York

Wall Street is the Address(or is it?)

Many people think of Wall Street and the Stock Market as one in the same, and indeed, it used to be that way.

Dutch settlers initially built a stockade here in 1653 for defense purposes.
In 1685 the stockade was torn down and a street was built called Wall Street.
In 1790 the first Stock Exchange was founded in Philadelphia which became the model for the New York Stock Exchange.

In 1817 the NYSE was officially opened.
The NYSE was moderately successful till the early 1900’s when the market entered a boom period which lasted more or less until 1929.

This boom period of course could not last forever, things were so out of kilter that people were mortgaging their homes and leveraging themselves to the limit to buy shares.
The boom period crashed in 1929 and caused the Great Depression.

The 1929 Crash was caused in part by the fact that the Stock Market was virtually unregulated, which it remained even until after the market crash of 1987 which saw the Dow suffer what was the largest losing day in the Market’s history.

Black Tuesday – October 29th, 1929

On Black Tuesday, a record of 16.4 million shares were traded and the ticker tape fell behind two and a half hours. On Monday, the stock market suffered a record one-day loss of around 13 percent. On Black Tuesday, the market suffered a loss of about 12 percent and did not recover for 22 years.

The economy eventually recovered from its catastrophic losses but the unregulated Stock Market practices that had partially caused the crash in the 1929 still existed and caused the stock market crash of 1987, which saw the Dow Jones suffer what was the largest single-day loss in the stock market’s history.

Today’s Stock Market

Today’s stock market consists of about 500,000 computers all networked with dealers for the NYSE or market makers for the NASDAQ. Up until recently the Dow still used human intervention but at present all trades are computerized.

The 2 most important stock market networks are the NYSE and NASDAQ.
NASDAQ is a relatively new Stock Trading System that has been computerized since its inception, where market makers normally lead trades.

It used to be that more risky stocks were traded on the NASDAQ than on the NYSE, but that distinction is fading.

The difference between the NYSE and Nasdaq is in the way securities on the exchanges are transacted between buyers and sellers.

The Nasdaq is a dealer’s market, wherein market participants are not buying from and selling to one another but to and from a dealer, which, in the case of the Nasdaq, is a market maker.

The NYSE is an auction market, wherein individuals are typically buying and selling to each other and there is an auction happening; the highest bidding price will be matched with the lowest asking price.

All these computers are linked to computers worldwide. These computers can be found in banks, small businesses, and large corporations.

These computers comprise the banking networks which make computerized transactions possible.
To give you an idea as to how much gets traded: in New York City Stock Market Trades amount to over $2.2 trillion dollars daily

How has the U.S. Stock Market done in Times of War?

The worst Stock Market returns were achieved during the Vietnam War.If this happened because of the uncertainty of the times is a good question. Stock Markets do not like uncertainty and will act negatively.

Returns during the Korean War however were excellent and averaged about 18% per year while 2nd world war returns averaged about 13% per year.

The 1987 Stock Market Crash

The crash of 1987 was one of the most remarkable financial catastrophies of the 20th century, perhaps since the start of the financial system several centuries ago. Why it was so strange because it should not have happened and even today we cannot fully comprehend that it did happen.

Markets fell, an unbelievable 23%, and that they did so all over the world at the same time.
It only lasted one day.

There is no explanation. No definite reason for the crash has been isolated.
The best that one can say is that there were too many similarities to the 1929 crash and that this became a self-fulfilling prophecy.

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The Stock Market And Its Profits Potentials Compared To Other Investments

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The stock market investments has proving to yield more profits better than other financial investments in the financial market investments. With the stock investment, you are sure of an incessant opportunities of better profits, and above all…you are guarranteed of low risk of losing your money.

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The stock market investments has proving to yield more profits better than other financial investments in the financial market investments. With the stock investment, you are sure of an incessant opportunities of better profits, and above all…you are guarranteed of low risk of losing your money. Your portfolio manager will be on alert 24/5 to harness on your stock investments which fix you on full set of sleeping all day, and partying all night while your stock investment is growing more active by the day, and still making your money… even when you are out on your holidays.

The stock market has been accertained of its risk free and its profits potentials with the following other investments below, and the stock has been proven to be more yielding better than others below.

{1} Real Estate: ————- {Land & Building}
{2} Securities: ————– {Shares/Stocks and bonds}
{3} Trading: —————– {Buying/Selling/import & Export}
{4} Manufacturing: ———– {Goods & Services}
{5} Fixed Deposits: ———- {Banks/Building Societies}

Although, some investments are more lucrative than the other, but above all, ”The stock market” has still remained the most active, yielding, profitting and very lucrative among all others. A good example of one year investment trial has been conducted between the listed investments above, And yet ”The stock market” still emerge the leading profitting investment to yield potential profits among all others.

This statistic figures below has been monitored on 2 years on approximation investment prices as at between January 2006 to January 2008:-

Cost Of Price As At January 2006 Cost Of Price As At January 2008
{1} Land Cost:- 10,000 And 15,000 —— Current Price:- 13,000 And 18,000
{2} Buildings Cost:- 10,000 And 15,000 —— Building Cost:- 13,000 And 18,000
{3} Business Cost:- 10,000 And 15,000 —– Trading Cost:- 14,000 And 19,000
{4} Manufacturing Cost:- 100,000 And 15,000 — Manufacturing Cost:- 15,000 And 20,000
{5} Securities Cost, 10,000 And 15,000 —— Securities Cost:- 18,000 And 26,000

The statistics here show the result of changes in profit and in more yielding, lucrative and more profitable in each of the investments.

Statistics Of Changes In The Investment Profits As At January 2008.

Land Profits:- 13,000 And 18,000 ———– Profits Of:- 3,000 Each.
Building Profits:- 13,000 And 18,000 ——- Profits Of:- 3,000 Each.
Business Profits:- 14,000 And 19,000 ——– Profits Of:- 4,000 Each.
Manufacturing Profits:- 15,000 And 20,000 — Profits Of:- 5,000 Each.
Securities Profits:- 18,000 And 26,000 —— Profits Of: 8,000 And 11,000.

This statistic fagure above showed that the investment started at thesame time, and with thesame amount of capital investment, but with the changes and the transactions within the 2 years period of time, the securities stand solely as the highest yielding profitable investment with a huge difference of between 8,000 and 11,000 profits. The manufacturing is also another yielding investment within the same period of 2 years investment… thats to show you how profitting the stock markets and other securities markets stands to profit you money, you can even earn 3 times of your capital investment. You still earn money in stock market, even when you are sleeping or even when you are in a long distance holidays trip.

The stock market is the only assured investment that can prompt you enough chance to spend time with you family and your love one’s give, travel to the moon, engage other businesses and at the end of the day… you will still have so much to spend around with joy and happiness. Try investing into stock market today and you will see some changes in your financial capacity almost instantly, and to tell you the fact ” is INCESSANT”. You have absolutely nothing to lose order than profits, profits, profits and more profits. Read more from the authors links below.

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Constant Access with Stock Trading Online

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If you’ve never played the stock market, it may be time to inhibit it out. Many people make millions in selling and selling. Haven’t you heard about the UPS shares? Those people got rich. It’s amazing where a little chance can take you. With stock trading online somebody can have constant access to the market.
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In a world built on capital, we humans are forever vying for that next big money-maker. It seems that everybody forever desires more cash. Some strive for a senior education; others compete for that big promotion. No worry what the method, we all find a way of increasing our income. Investing is a customary form of making an added buck. With the obsession of the stock market in gorged affect, many of us chance on that up-and-coming business, or upright product that has the latent to fuel in value. We know that shares can sky-rocket in appraise if purchased at the right time. A blessing to many investment junkies is stock trading online. The stock market is now at your fingertips.

If you’ve never played the stock market, it may be time to inhibit it out. Many people make millions in selling and selling. Haven’t you heard about the UPS shares? Those people got rich. It’s amazing where a little chance can take you. With stock trading online somebody can have constant access to the market. Hop on your computer and inhibit out the websites that can help you with this process. It doesn’t worry if you’re looking to squander a little or invest a lot, there is something just waiting for you. The great thing about the Internet is the information. You can find an abundance of trading tips and truth about the stock market for free. This way when you commence stock trading online, you won’t be in the dark.

We hope that the first part of this article as brought you a lot of much needed information on the subject at hand.

A few living back, my best friend hopped on the stock market bandwagon, and purchased some shares. When he began this little venture, he purchased on the recommendation of a partner who had been trading for years. After selling a number of shares at 10 bucks a pop, he was keen to go. It wasn’t long before the shares had amplified to 60 bucks a pop. He took the innocent road and sold immediately. I think that this was a astute decision. He made the currency and puzzled nothing. With stock trading online, shrewd when to fold is key. Just like with gambling, you have to know when to currency out. Make some money, but don’t get greedy. Before you know it, the shares have dropped below your purchase price. Stock trading online is a amazing way to veer a profit and make that added cash. Before you skip online and flinch investing, inhibit out some websites for figures and pointers on the contest of stock trading. A better understanding of the affair will pay off in the end.

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How To Undertake Free Stock Research

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Stocks are not constant. They increase, decrease and disappear. In fact, investing in the stock market is a risky endeavor not to be taken lightly. You name it– you may start out happy with the high standing of your stocks and after an hour or two turn sad because your stocks have somehow lowered down below their original value. They may actually plunge, slamming down to the lowest values fathomable. You may emerge feeling depressed that you’ve lost an investment that you’ve…
Stocks are not constant. They increase, decrease and disappear. In fact, investing in the stock market is a risky endeavor not to be taken lightly. You name it– you may start out happy with the high standing of your stocks and after an hour or two turn sad because your stocks have somehow lowered down below their original value. They may actually plunge, slamming down to the lowest values fathomable. You may emerge feeling depressed that you’ve lost an investment that you’ve worked hard for and had much hope in. For this reason, investing in stocks can be both exhilarating and disconcerting.

To avoid such unsightly scenario, it would be best to do some research before investing all your hard earned savings on stocks. Stock investment is not for the faint hearted; it is for those smart individuals who knew how to manipulate the stock market for their advantage. These people know the importance of stock research and have spent a great deal of effort, time and even money just to come up with the best tactics that can help them in their quest for enormous stock returns.

The internet is a good venue for conducting research on stocks since you are able to access various online sources pertaining to stocks. The best thing about these sources is the fact that they are free. You might ask yourself why conducting stock research is critical. The answer is clear.

A stock research is conducted in order to know what stocks are favorable for investment and which stocks are to be avoided. It is also conducted to know the fluctuations in the stock market, this way businesses as well as private individuals are guided when to sell or when to buy additional stocks.

In addition, there are some free stock research providers online that offer their expertise by helping people reclaim their money from old bonds and stock certificates. Most of their clients are comprised of banks, estate and stock brokers, lawyers, and private individuals. Their services also include research on a company history and old stock shares dating centuries back.

There are also other free stock research providers that offer consultation services and at the same time assist members in choosing the stocks to invest on. These providers are stock investors themselves, what they actually do is to make the initial investment in a certain stock which they assess is profitable and then they let their members to also invest in the same stocks. If they gain their members will also gain. They religiously conduct stock researches in order to update their members when to sell, or when to buy additional stocks.

They also keep track of whatever changes in the stock market since they know that even a slight fluctuation in the stocks have significant effect on their investments as well as on the investments of their members—and the best thing about all of these services is that they are for free. If it your first time to invest in stocks it would be best to join such free stock research provider online. Keep in mind, time is critical since they accept only a limited amount of members.

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Crush the Stock Market Without Trading Stocks

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Learn a trading system that will make you richer than if you’d bought Google as an IPO. Foreign Exchange trading is a smart, lucrative and accessible way to invest your money; as long as you know what you’re doing. Here are the Five Steps you need to take to start getting monster returns by tradin
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Do you look at the stock market and wish you’d bought some Google stock back when it was first offered for $104? You’d have gained nearly 300% on that investment in the first year – that’s roughly 9.2% each month! That’s a Wall Street level of success!

Imagine if I could show you an investment opportunity that could easily give you over 14% monthly? What if 21.5% per month was within reach? These yearly returns of anywhere from 500% to 1000% are possible for anyone who has the initiative to go out and get them. That’s 2-4X MORE than GOOGLE, one of the fastest growing stocks IN HISTORY! We’re talking about an investment opportunity where your returns will crush even the top gainers of the stock market. Are you starting to get curious about how these numbers are attainable?

You can beat the stock game by playing a different game, the Foreign Exchange trading game. Also referred to as Forex, the Foreign Exchange market is where one country’s currency is traded for another’s. You can buy €1100 Euros for $1000 US Dollars while the exchange rate is at 1.1 Euros/Dollar. Then you can sell the Euros back to dollars for $1100 (and a nice $100 profit) if the exchange rate moves to 1 Euro/Dollar.

$100 may be nice, but that 1% return on the $1000 doesn’t sound like the path to your 500% returns, does it? Here’s how that 1% gets its power: Leverage. With Forex, if you have $300 in your account, you can control a $10,000 trade. That makes your money a lot more powerful than the $1-$1 control you get in the stock market! If you’re thinking that you can lose more money this way too, just read on, you’ll learn why that won’t happen.

Consider this: The Foreign Exchange market has a DAILY trading volume of around $1.5 trillion dollars. That’s 30 times larger than the combined volume of all U.S. equity markets (that includes the NASDAQ and NYSE). This is an untapped resource, and you’re about to learn five simple steps towards taking your share out of that market and into your pocket.

1. Get Educated!
As with all things, the more you know about trading, the more likely you are to success. A little effort spent learning up front can save you hundreds and thousands of dollars of mistakes later.

2. Have a Strategy!
A simple repeatable system can turn trading into a low-risk mechanical system. Know when you should trade, how often you should trade, how much money to spend per trade, when to cut your losses, and when to take your profits. Push the right buttons at the right times, and you’ll make money.

3. Practice Makes Perfect!
Most Forex brokers will allow you to sign up for a practice account, where you can trade imaginary money until you’ve solidified your winning strategy. Don’t risk your hard-earned cash until you’ve proven that you’ll succeed

4. Scrape Together $300
That’s 2 months of brown-bagging lunch instead of buying it; or a few months of cutting down on the daily coffee-shop visits. If you start now, by the time you’ve learned a strategy and perfected it on your practice account, you’ll be ready with your $300 to start earning real money. More money is always better, but $300 is the minimum you’ll need to get started.

5. Go Out and Succeed!
By the time you get to Step 5, you KNOW you will succeed, and you’ll spring out of bed every day ready to make your profit. Some days you’ll lose a little money, but you won’t worry. Your strategy allows you to lose a little money from time to time; you proved that losing money periodically wasn’t the end of the world when you practiced; you’ll get up tomorrow and make it back by following your proven strategy.

Starting with your $300, if you made “Google Gains”, you’d have $862 in a year. That’s not bad. With Forex gains, though, you could easily turn your $300 into $1500-$3000 in a year! Who need the stock market?!?

Saving the best for last, here’s the shocking truth: The 500-1000% yearly returns are possible, but with a smarter strategy you could turn your $300 into over $10,000 in less than a year without increasing your risks! Best of all, you can do all of this over the Internet without leaving home. That’s 3000% while wearing pajamas. With these kinds of returns, you could realistically quit your job and trade full-time!

If you could use more money if your life (and lets face it, we all can), you owe it to yourself to learn more about Foreign Exchange trading.

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Day Trading Online in the United States

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Day trading online in the United States has become a powerful trend in recent years.
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Day trading online in the United States has become a powerful trend in recent years. And while growth rates in the US have been sluggish in recent years, the US has still maintained a strong dollar, which is still used as the unquestioned international standard.
Unemployment rates have been better than where they are now, but consumer spending is at a normal pace.

But what does all of this have to do with the stock market?-Surprisingly a lot. Macroeconomic trends are quite simply the sum of microeconomic decisions and realities. If the economy overall is suffering, there’s a good chance that most firms are also experiencing slow growth rates, which will be reflected in share prices on the NASDAQ.

This also means that day traders will feel the strain; some may even avoid trading altogether out of a sense of despair, which may further lag growth rates.

Most of stock trading websites are actually based in America. So that means that you will always have a huge selection of companies to choose between for your stock trading services.

Day trading online in the USA is a big business and a lot of people setting up online companies are making a lot of money, often through sign-up and service fees. But the real winner can be the consumer–the one who signs up for the website: these people get into the online stock trading world and can make a real killing when they are buying and selling all the right kinds of stock.

But you do need to have some kind of knowledge about buying and selling stocks when you are taking part in online stock trading. Brokers are available to give you any advice when you need it; and if you are always failing to earn, then you should really give a broker a call, just to see if they can help you out of your losing streak.

USA is recognized by many as the home of the strongest and largest stock market. This is why foreign investors from around the world choose to invest a good amount of their money in US-based business. For you to make the most out of the US stock market, you need to be able to know when to buy and sell. If you do not know when to say that enough is enough for that share, then you should not be trading at all. A lot of people have exact strategies-technical or fundamental-to determine exactly when to buy and to trade and exactly how much to diversify to manage risk appropriately; and these are the people who are usually earning a steady income.

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Go Stock Trade . com Primer: What is the stock market all about?

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Thousands of people who have money in any type of account for their retirement can consider ourselves participating in the Stock market. But have you pondered about the functionality of how this interesting market works? Imagine being at a regular auction, where instead of nice bits such as cars and antiques are being bidded away, think of bits of public companies being auctioned away.
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Thousands of people who have money in any type of account for their retirement can consider ourselves participating in the Stock market. But have you pondered about the functionality of how this interesting market works? Imagine being at a regular auction, where instead of nice bits such as cars and antiques are being bidded away, think of bits of public companies being auctioned away.

To make a less confusing analogy, think about the role of an auctioneer. The auctioneer’s role is to get the highest and best price for each product. Well, the stock exchanges around the globe kinda operate in the same fashion. The auctioneer role, is called a Market Maker. In a stock sale, there is no stable, set price for stocks, but instead, setting the price is the role of the Market Maker.

The price will fluctuate greatly, because the ying and yang of the market, the buyers and sellers, will bid on either the stock going lower, or higher. Usually when you see a stock price go up, it means that the buy price of a stock has increased. This is vice versa when a stock declines in value.

Now I am sure you have seen visuals on the major news networks of how a stock floor looks. You know, the floor where tons of stark raving mad folks, scream numbers and look at monitors and make trades all day. The trading day starts at 9:30 in the morning Eastern Time, and stops at 4:00 in the afternoon Easter Time. Depending on business news, market forecasts, world events, and a few other things thrown in between, can dictate how much volume a market can have in a day.

The last couple of paragraphs have mentioned all of the particulars of two major markets, the New York Stock Exchange(NYSE) and the lesser known American Stock Exchange. But there is a third one too! It is called NASDAQ.
Now what makes NASDAQ quite unique from the other two, is that this market is controlled by computers. Despite the technological advances of this stock market, NASDAQ still has the conventional bidding water of NYSE and American Stock Exchange. The buyers and sellers have their own areas to buy and sell stock, and bid through a quote system called Level II.

The great thing with stock trading, is that in order to be successful with trading stocks, you do not have to be in the pit, bidding like a madman on the hunt for their lives. Not at all! You can now use the very computer in your house, or go to a trading office if you live in a big city and trade stocks. Many different internet based brokerages are out there, and have plenty of materials to get you started on your way to becoming a great stocktrader!

PROFIT ON!

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Make More Money Trading the Stock Market

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Technical stock traders use technical analysis and stock charts when trading the market. Stock Predictor software goes even further, with hundreds of predefined trading strategies included with it.
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If you are a stock trader, how often do you base your buy and sell decision on technical analysis? If you use technical indicators in your trades, Ashkon Stock Predictor can help you make closer predictions of the stock market. Thanks to the dozens of simple pre-defined trading strategies and literally hundreds of combined ones, there will be no lack of strategy for any stock and any market situation. Choose the right trading strategy and increase your trading profits with Stock Predictor! Download Free Trial (16 MB)

Traditionally, analytical packages for the stock market cost thousands of dollars, and require their operators a high degree of competency in mathematical statistics. Ashkon Software innovative product provided, for the first time, an intuitive and simple to use graphical user interface to the complex process of trading, analyzing data and making predictions. Stock Predictor allows you to make weighted decisions on whether to buy, sell, hold, or avoid a particular stock or stock index by plotting stock charts and technical indicators. You can glance at the charts and make a quick trade decision, or scrutinize them with any of the built-in trading strategies.

Are you sure you are selling your stocks at the right time? Limiting your losses and protecting your gains is a rule of thumb for every investor. Making a trade decision is risky and time-consuming. You can reduce your risks and save time by using proper analytical tools. Stock Predictor saves your time by providing comprehensive analysis of technical indicators for all of your stocks.

Do you have a trading strategy? If you do, how do you know that the strategy of your choice is the most effective one for a given stock and under the circumstances? Stock Predictor helps you choose the right trading strategy for a given stock or group of stocks, supporting multiple pre-defined trading strategies. Running the strategies against a single stock, stock index or a group of stocks makes it easy to calculate and compare cumulative and summarized returns on investment. Choosing the best trading strategy for a particular stock or group of stocks can increase your bottom line dramatically.

Having access to prior performance of a given stock certainly helps developing the right trading strategy. Stock Predictor provides access to historical data at no extra fee with built-in downloader. You can import data into Stock Predictor from a different source, or export data to process it in an analytical application of your choice.

Despite having all the features of advanced analytical packages, Stock Predictor does not cost an arm and a leg. At only $295, Stock Predictor is extremely affordable for any stock trader.

Stock Predictor is available for immediate download. Get your free evaluation copy at http://www.ashkon.com/sp.html and bring your trades to the new level of competency!

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